Migrant Selection and the Welfare State: Heterogeneous Effects of Social and Economic Rights on Migrant Flows By Gender and Education Level
Alicia Adsera, Princeton University
John Palmer, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
Mariola Pytlikova, CERGE
skill through the economic and social rights offered to them. In particular, we explore
whether the effect of destination state labor-market rights, welfare rights, and welfare
spending varies by gender and education level. We also explore the differential effects
of co-national social networks to better understand the role of cumulative causation in the
selection process. We estimate a multilevel gravity-type model using data on the gender
and education composition of migrant flows from 159 states around the world to 19 OECD
states from the brain-data from IAB. We combine this with data on social expenditures, a set of indexes of immigrants’
social and economic rights that vary by time, origin, and destination, and data on key
economic indicators. We employ time lags to account for the potential endogenous relationships
between migrant flows and destination-state policies and spending levels. We
find that the effects of destination state economic and social rights and welfare spending
appear to be similar for men and women but to differ in interesting ways across education
level. Non-contributory welfare rights appear to attract migrants of all genders and education
levels, with the effects largest for those with middle-level education, but welfare
spending attracts only men with low education—and only a very small amount. Private sector
employment rights attract only those with high education and have no notable effect
on the other groups. Finally, larger co-national population in the destination state attracts
all groups, with the effect larger for those with low and medium education than for those
with high education
Presented in Session 23: New Perspectives on Emigration